@30/07/2010
GLOBAL ECONOMY- The OECD says that the world is flirting with a double-dip recession because of market pressure on Europe governments to slash spending. The low capital values of euro area banks are also aiding in the slow recovery. Australia's fortunes are alligned more to Asia and accordingly there is a concern of a slowdown in this region and possibly coupled by any European economic slump.
CONSUMER SPENDING - The CBA reports the Australian job market is stronger, consumer spender is at its weakest level since the height of the global financial crisis. The chief reasons behind the decline over the last quarter, which was the the worst result since the start of 2008, were higher interest rates, doubts over the state of the global economy, rising utility charges and council rates, all of which were weighing on consumer minds.
LABOUR MARKET, STAFF RETENTION, EMPLOYMENT & UNEMPLOYMENT - There is difficulty for +/- 33% employers to find suitable staffing. Accordingly, the tightening labour market has resulted in employers having to invest in training as well as wage increases to maintain a suitable staffing kudos. However, there are anomalies within the labour market infrastructure. Some of the flaws include (a) a large pool of under-employed workers, who want to work full time but can only find part-time work (b) the claw back of means tested benefits as incomes rise has the perverse effect of locking people into part-time work, with part-timers losing up to 70% in every $ they earn to government (c) Australia's unemployment rates are worse than the unemployment figures suggests, because 25% of those with jobs are working part-time, and 21% of people of prime working age (25-54) have no job at all
JOB CREATION & JOB ADVERTISEMENTS - There is a disconnection between number of jobs advertised and number available...say 5 jobs per 1 advert.
JOB STRATEGY - Most states are contingencies in this area are on target.
WAGES - ahead of a series of pay agreements coming up for renegotiation, unions are pushing wage claims of up to 7%
SMALL BUSINESS - While in the current economic climate, SME's would like to switch lenders to gain better finance deals. MAny SME's have failed to comply with new ATO employee share plan rules.
GOVT. GRANTS - There are +/- 403 state and federal grants currently on offer for businesses, totaling more than $16 billion of which $5 billion is allocated each year. Most companies don't apply because they don't know what's available or they are scared of all the red tape. information per Govt. grants can be found at http://business.gov.au/Grant finder/Grantfinder.aspx
HOUSEHOLD DEBT - there is a rise from 18.8b to 19.6b in credit card debt @ 05/2010. Expert note that consumers as well as small business, are more likely to use credit cards now due to rising mortgage and commercial loan costs, with higher interest rates. Retailers, however, are not seeing any parallel boost in turnover.
SKILLED MIGRANTS & AGEING POPULATION - It is estimated that circa 2050, people over 65 will make up 23% of the population
To alleviate this, skilled migrants is being promoted especially in non-suburban areas.
Mergers, Takeovers, Acquisitions..
FOSTER'S GROUP - is still pursuing a separation from its wine division. Has abandoned the divestment of 4 vineyards.
SIGMA PHARMACEUTICALS- has decided its generic drug business.
AXA ASIA PACIFIC-NAB and takeover target have extended their acquisition arrangement DULUX- the Orica spun-off group has listed on the ASX. Orica is now seeking mining sector acquisitions.
HEALTHSCOPE-Currently in divestment mode with TPG and Carlyle group.
BHP BILLITON-have advised +/- 150 Adelaide Finance Division staff of impending retrenchment .
BILLABONG- currently in staff rationalisation/retrenchment kudos.
JETSET TRAVELWORLD & STELLA TRAVEL- looking at a JV; currently with the ACCC.
MACQUARIE GROUP-talking to US Spirit Finance Corp.
EMECO HOLDINGS- Considering divesting of its Vic. civil equipment rental business
Companies Reporting Poor Results...
NUFARM
SIGMA PHARACEUTICALS
WOOLWORTHS [NSW]
GOODMAN FIELDER
MIRRABOOKA INVESTMENTS [VIC]
ERA [ACT]
BRAMBLES LTD [NSW]
TELSTRA [VIC]
AXA ASIA PACIFIC [VIC]
PLATIUM CAPITAL [NSW]
COUNTRY ROAD [VIC]
SCANTECH LTD [SA]
PAPERLINX LTD [VIC]
PHOTON GROUP [NSW]
NTH. QLD. METALS [QLD]
AIR PACIFIC
Companies Reporting Good Results...
COCHLEAR LTD [NSW]
APN NEWS & MEDIA [NSW]
ORICA [VIC]
COLLECTION HOUSE [QLD]
RHG LTD [NSW]
INDEPENDENCE GROUP [WA]
KMART AUSTRALIA [WA]
WEBJET LTD [VIC]
WOODSIDE PETROLEUM [WA]
RSM BIRD CAMERON [WA]
M2 TELECOMMUNICATIONS [VIC]
BHP BILLITON [VIC]
MT. GIBSON IRON [WA]
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP [WA]
STUART PETROLEUM [SA]
SANTOS [SA]
PEABODY ENERGY [QLD]
ALCOA [US/WA]
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